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Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Syracuse Mets

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 59.84%1.67fair odd
EV +5.91%
Edge +3.34%
Kelly +7.67%
Growth +0.454%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%58.99%60.91%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.561.7766.67%61.69%64.10%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 40.16%2.49fair odd
EV +0.411%
Edge +0.164%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%41.01%39.09%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.252.382.5051.28%44.44%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 59.84%; Syracuse Mets (Visit): 40.16%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +5.91%E +3.34%K +7.67%G +0.454%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -19.67%E -9.84%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:34
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV +5.91%E +3.34%K +7.67%G +0.454%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -21.68%E -11.12%K -22.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:00
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV +2.32%E +1.36%K +3.27%G +0.076%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -18.07%E -8.86%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 22:01
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +1.12%E +0.664%K +1.63%G +0.018%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -13.65%E -6.35%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.61%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.40%E -0.988%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.41%E -1.85%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.05%E -5.95%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.411%E +0.164%K +0.274%G +0.001%5.8%2026-05-16 20:29
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.61%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.