The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.34%52.25%52.12%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.801.8158.48%56.18%55.56%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%47.75%47.88%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.0452.36%50.99%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 52.27%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 47.73%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -2.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 21:34
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:29
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 21:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 17:14
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 19:39
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.61%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.