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Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 17:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV +7.17%
Edge +3.81%
Kelly +8.14%
Growth +0.584%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%55.90%57.01%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.8861.73%59.41%59.88%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%44.10%42.99%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.122.152.2454.64%47.10%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 57.00%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 43.00%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV +7.17%E +3.81%K +8.14%G +0.584%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -21.32%E -11.65%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:24
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -12.29%E -6.02%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 17:20
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:04
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:50
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.