Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Norfolk Tides

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 16:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 59.57%1.68fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -6.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.29%59.57%59.57%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.551.581.591.6164.52%63.09%62.89%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 40.43%2.47fair odd

EV -6.19%

Edge -2.67%

Kelly -4.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.05%40.43%40.43%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.292.292.3244.44%43.76%43.76%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 59.57%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 40.43%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -4.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-05 14:20
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.19%E -2.67%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-05 14:00
1xBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.15%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-05 15:50
BetRivers🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.95%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.67%K -4.69%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 16:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.