Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd

EV +0.234%

Edge +0.136%

Kelly +0.325%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.81%58.28%55.50%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.651.691.7269.93%60.75%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd

EV +8.48%

Edge +3.26%

Kelly +5.30%

Growth +0.450%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.48%41.72%44.50%45.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.202.122.6048.78%45.41%47.17%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 58.28%; Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit): 41.72%. For Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -16.67%E -11.65%K -38.76%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +8.48%E +3.26%K +5.30%G +0.450%	8.4%	2026-09-01 23:00
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV +0.234%E +0.136%K +0.325%G +0.001%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -10.71%E -5.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-01 16:10
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -0.932%E -0.548%K -1.33%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -11.54%E -5.45%K -10.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 15:49
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -12.38%E -5.89%K -11.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-01 16:23
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -1.51%E -0.896%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -14.46%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-01 20:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.