The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Kickoff: 2026-09-17 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%59.84%60.05%62.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.571.7065.79%62.99%63.69%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV -0.762%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%40.16%39.95%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.332.352.4846.08%42.99%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 59.98%; Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit): 40.02%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.97%E +1.16%K +2.82%G +0.056%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.77%E -5.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -13.17%E -6.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 16:35
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 22:27
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 22:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 22:49
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.762%E -0.307%K -0.515%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.