Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 57.77%1.73fair odd

EV +2.84%

Edge +1.59%

Kelly +3.64%

Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.65%58.28%57.33%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.631.631.7864.10%61.16%61.54%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd

EV +5.56%

Edge +2.23%

Kelly +3.71%

Growth +0.206%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%41.72%42.67%46.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.232.212.5048.54%44.77%45.25%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 57.77%; Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit): 42.23%. For Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +5.56%E +2.23%K +3.71%G +0.206%	4.1%	2026-09-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -2.04%E -0.877%K -1.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-16 16:49
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-16 16:44
FanDuel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -6.26%E -2.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-16 16:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-16 16:50
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-16 16:35
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-16 16:50
1xBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV +2.84%E +1.59%K +3.64%G +0.103%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -13.01%E -6.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-16 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.