The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Salt Lake Bees v Tacoma Rainiers

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%50.72%51.06%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9957.47%54.71%54.64%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%49.28%48.94%52.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.11%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 50.90%; Tacoma Rainiers (Visit): 49.10%. For Salt Lake Bees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV +1.30%E +0.651%K +1.31%G +0.017%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 23:39
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 23:38
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 23:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 23:39
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.90%E -5.59%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 10:37
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.90%E -5.59%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 10:27
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -11.43%E -6.57%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.