The School of Odds
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Salt Lake Bees v Tacoma Rainiers

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 48.76%2.05fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%49.16%48.53%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.871.891.9957.47%53.50%52.91%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 51.24%1.95fair odd
EV +5.03%
Edge +2.45%
Kelly +4.79%
Growth +0.241%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%50.84%51.47%52.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.842.0556.18%53.42%54.35%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 48.76%; Tacoma Rainiers (Visit): 51.24%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -15.15%E -8.71%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +5.03%E +2.45%K +4.79%G +0.241%6.3%2026-05-19 17:28
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -14.17%E -8.05%K -18.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV +0.421%E +0.215%K +0.439%G +0.002%7.8%2026-05-20 00:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -13.69%E -7.73%K -17.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -0.091%E -0.047%K -0.096%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 00:19
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 00:09
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.79%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 00:28
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.40%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 00:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -2.96%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -8.80%E -4.94%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.