The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Salt Lake Bees v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.73%39.85%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.412.402.6047.85%41.46%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 60.87%1.64fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +2.39%
Kelly +5.76%
Growth +0.235%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%60.27%60.15%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.531.7167.57%64.56%65.36%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 39.13%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 60.87%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -18.22%E -8.72%K -16.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +4.09%E +2.39%K +5.76%G +0.235%6.3%2026-04-15 00:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:34
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 19:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 23:43
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.26%E -3.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.218%E -0.085%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.870%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.74%E +0.669%K +1.09%G +0.019%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.91%E -6.70%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.870%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.91%E -6.70%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.