The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Salt Lake Bees v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV +10.22%
Edge +4.89%
Kelly +9.37%
Growth +0.958%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%51.37%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.772.0957.80%55.56%56.50%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.63%46.95%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.962.002.0258.48%50.99%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 52.74%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 47.26%. For Salt Lake Bees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +10.22%E +4.89%K +9.37%G +0.958%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -19.18%E -11.22%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:19
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.53%E -2.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.47%E -2.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.47%E -2.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 18:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.47%E -2.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 15:45
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.18%E -4.08%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.89%E -3.50%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.77%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.47%E -2.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 17:19
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.77%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.47%E -2.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.