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Salt Lake Bees v Reno Aces

2026-08-19 00:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.26%49.01%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.911.911.9353.48%52.32%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reno Aces (Visit)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.99%51.07%51.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.9055.56%54.27%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 48.93%; Reno Aces (Visit): 51.07%. For Reno Aces (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.90, with an expected value of -2.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 17:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 15:10
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 15:41
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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