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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Salt Lake Bees v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-07-23 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salt Lake Bees (Local)

Prediction 48.17%2.08fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.21%48.07%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.76%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 51.83%1.93fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%51.79%51.93%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8857.47%55.28%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salt Lake Bees (Local): 48.17%; Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit): 51.83%. For Salt Lake Bees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.26%E -0.614%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.81%E -5.64%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.59%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 18:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 17:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 17:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 17:44
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 21:39
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -8.48%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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