The School of Odds
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Sacramento River Cats v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats (Local)

Prediction 59.83%1.67fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.95%59.51%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.571.6166.23%63.60%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 40.17%2.49fair odd
EV +0.431%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.05%40.49%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.302.5044.44%42.90%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento River Cats (Local): 59.83%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 40.17%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.431%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.27%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.431%E +0.172%K +0.287%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-24 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.66%E -6.40%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.80%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:20
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -8.81%E -3.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.