Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats v Salt Lake Bees

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 01:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats (Local)

Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.82%53.34%53.05%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.761.771.7757.47%56.74%56.50%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.66%46.95%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.002.002.0550.76%49.91%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 20:25
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 19:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 15:21
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:33
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.83%E -3.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 21:04
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.87%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.83%E -3.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.