The School of Odds
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Sacramento River Cats v Round Rock Express

2026-08-05 01:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats (Local)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -8.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%55.84%55.87%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.681.6959.88%59.49%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.16%44.13%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.122.122.1547.85%47.15%47.28%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sacramento River Cats (Local): 55.86%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 44.14%. For Round Rock Express (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -5.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:23
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.98%E -2.81%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 14:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:46
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:50
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.75%E -3.71%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 19:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.