The School of Odds
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Sacramento River Cats v Reno Aces

2026-09-20 20:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats (Local)

Prediction 55.06%1.82fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.01%55.06%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7559.17%58.48%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reno Aces (Visit)

Prediction 44.94%2.23fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%44.99%44.94%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1048.78%47.81%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sacramento River Cats (Local): 55.06%; Reno Aces (Visit): 44.94%. For Sacramento River Cats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.75, with an expected value of -3.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 13:23
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.07%E -2.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:19
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 13:31
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.