The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sacramento River Cats v Las Vegas Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 01:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento River Cats (Local)

Prediction 49.72%2.01fair odd
EV +0.431%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.81%50.00%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.921.952.0256.50%52.11%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 50.28%1.99fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.564%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%50.19%50.00%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.782.0057.80%54.74%56.18%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento River Cats (Local): 49.72%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 50.28%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.564%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.00%E -6.78%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +0.564%E +0.282%K +0.564%G +0.003%6.5%2026-04-10 01:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.51%E -5.84%K -13.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.95%E -1.00%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 01:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 01:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.431%E +0.213%K +0.422%G +0.002%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.50%E -5.90%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.564%E -0.282%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.00%E -6.22%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:49
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -3.05%E -1.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -11.00%E -6.22%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 14:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -3.05%E -1.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 22:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.564%E -0.282%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.01%E -7.52%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.