Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Round Rock Express v Salt Lake Bees

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Round Rock Express (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.50%51.93%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.8358.48%55.71%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV +0.051%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%47.50%48.07%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.942.0952.63%51.28%51.68%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Round Rock Express (Local): 52.13%; Salt Lake Bees (Visit): 47.87%. For Salt Lake Bees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.089. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.090, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.051%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -10.86%E -6.35%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +0.051%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 22:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 22:28
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.09%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 19:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 19:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 17:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 20:10
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.