The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Round Rock Express v Las Vegas Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Round Rock Express (Local)

Prediction 44.31%2.26fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%45.08%44.30%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.152.152.3052.36%46.49%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 55.69%1.80fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.92%55.70%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.8363.69%60.12%59.88%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Round Rock Express (Local): 44.31%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 55.69%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.37%E -8.05%K -16.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.91%E +1.05%K +2.31%G +0.044%7.0%2026-07-18 23:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 23:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.11%E -4.92%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.303%E -0.135%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.34%E -6.42%K -16.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 15:44
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -0.303%E -0.135%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.01%E -7.60%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 17:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +1.91%E +0.831%K +1.47%G +0.028%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -12.57%E -8.00%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.