The School of Odds

Round Rock Express v Las Vegas Aviators

2026-07-18 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Round Rock Express (Local)

Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.50%40.49%41.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.4044%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%59.50%59.51%60.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.591.6164%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.83%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.37%E -3.38%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:08
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.26%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 15:34
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.62%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.38%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 15:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.18%E -2.60%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:29
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.37%E -3.38%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 18:09
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.88%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.56%E -4.18%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 15:49
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.