The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Round Rock Express v Gwinnett Stripers

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Round Rock Express (Local)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV +0.493%
Edge +0.251%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%51.21%51.07%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.871.901.9657.47%53.48%52.77%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 48.73%2.05fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.102%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.79%48.93%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.812.0557.14%53.37%55.10%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Round Rock Express (Local): 51.27%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 48.73%. For Round Rock Express (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.493%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV +0.493%E +0.251%K +0.513%G +0.003%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -11.31%E -6.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.020%E -0.010%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.29%E -6.83%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.020%E -0.010%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.29%E -6.83%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -11.80%E -6.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 20:20
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -14.73%E -8.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 19:29
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:28
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.107%E -0.052%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.107%E -0.052%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.