The School of Odds
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Round Rock Express v El Paso Chihuahuas

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Round Rock Express (Local)

Prediction 48.00%2.08fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -6.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.04%48.00%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.941.951.9652.36%51.45%51.28%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 52.00%1.92fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%51.96%52.00%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8255.56%55.48%55.56%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Round Rock Express (Local): 48.00%; El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit): 52.00%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -5.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.92%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:27
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 21:00
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.36%E -3.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.32%E -4.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.