Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings v Syracuse Mets

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 15:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd

EV -6.10%

Edge -3.45%

Kelly -7.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.85%53.12%53.05%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.751.751.7758.82%57.25%56.98%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd

EV -3.28%

Edge -1.59%

Kelly -3.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.21%46.88%46.95%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.012.002.0651.28%49.79%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Red Wings (Local): 53.05%; Syracuse Mets (Visit): 46.95%. For Syracuse Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -3.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-27 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-27 14:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-27 14:40
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-27 14:40
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-27 14:40
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.81%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -3.28%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-27 14:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.