The School of Odds
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Rochester Red Wings v Syracuse Mets

2026-08-01 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 51.83%1.93fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.09%51.93%55.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.791.801.8759.52%55.87%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 48.17%2.08fair odd
EV -0.296%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.80%47.91%48.07%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0754.05%51.14%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rochester Red Wings (Local): 51.83%; Syracuse Mets (Visit): 48.17%. For Syracuse Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -0.296%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 21:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 22:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.59%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 21:24
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 21:19
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 21:18
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 21:19
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -9.29%E -5.31%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 18:41
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.81%E -5.64%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.26%E -0.614%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 13:09
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -12.92%E -7.69%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -0.296%E -0.143%K -0.276%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.