Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings v Buffalo Bisons

2026-08-30 17:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd

EV -3.72%

Edge -2.34%

Kelly -6.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.95%60.66%60.56%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.571.561.5964.10%63.83%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd

EV -1.39%

Edge -0.556%

Kelly -0.927%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%39.34%39.44%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.402.382.5042.55%41.75%41.93%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rochester Red Wings (Local): 60.56%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 39.44%. For Buffalo Bisons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -1.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.72%E -2.34%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-30 12:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-30 11:54
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.53%E -3.55%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.39%E -0.556%K -0.927%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 12:27
FanDuel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.55%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-30 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.53%E -3.55%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.73%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 12:25
Bovada🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.53%E -3.55%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-30 12:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.