Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings v Buffalo Bisons

2026-08-29 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd

EV -4.19%

Edge -2.45%

Kelly -5.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.81%56.12%56.02%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.661.681.681.7160.24%59.47%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -3.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.49%43.88%43.98%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.122.152.152.1747.17%46.54%46.51%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rochester Red Wings (Local): 56.03%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 43.97%. For Rochester Red Wings (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.71, with an expected value of -4.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.03%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 15:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-29 15:29
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-29 15:46
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-29 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.59%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 15:40
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-29 16:29
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-29 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.