The School of Odds

Reno Aces v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-22 01:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 42.59%2.35fair odd
EV +0.092%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%43.12%41.72%48.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.932.182.232.3552%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +3.49%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%56.88%58.28%59.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.621.7963%60%62%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -17.80%E -9.22%K -19.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV +2.76%E +1.54%K +3.49%G +0.096%7.7%2026-07-21 22:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.69%E -6.19%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.111%E -0.064%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:18
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -13.96%E -6.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -0.685%E -0.396%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 22:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:44
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 21:20
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:05
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.30%E -5.88%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (3 combinations) +1.61%BetOnline.ag 2.35 (43.2%) / BetRivers 1.79 (56.8%)Show all 3 combinations
Reno Aces (Local)Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)Margin
BetOnline.ag 2.35 (43.2%)BetRivers 1.79 (56.8%)+1.61%
theScore Bet 2.30 (43.8%)BetRivers 1.79 (56.2%)+0.660%
FanDuel 2.30 (43.8%)BetRivers 1.79 (56.2%)+0.660%