The School of Odds

Reno Aces v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-26 01:35 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 49.33%2.03fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.20%49.34%50.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.871.9555%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 50.67%1.97fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.19%50.80%50.66%52.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.8956%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 14:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.77%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.76%E -3.10%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.77%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 19:35
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.77%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 15:05
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 17:12
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.75%E -4.14%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:09
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -9.72%E -5.31%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -4.24%E -2.24%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.