The School of Odds

Reno Aces v Tacoma Rainiers

2026-07-27 01:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%42.77%41.39%49.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.142.252.3653.19%46.63%44.44%42.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 58.47%1.71fair odd
EV +7.01%
Edge +3.83%
Kelly +8.44%
Growth +0.592%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%57.23%58.61%60.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.621.8363.69%59.48%61.73%54.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -20.69%E -10.83%K -22.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +7.01%E +3.83%K +8.44%G +0.592%7.0%2026-07-26 19:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -21.93%E -11.67%K -24.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +7.01%E +3.83%K +8.44%G +0.592%7.8%2026-07-26 19:10
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -18.20%E -9.24%K -18.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV +2.92%E +1.66%K +3.84%G +0.112%7.6%2026-07-26 19:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.80%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 19:11
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.32%E -2.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -2.00%E -0.848%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.19%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (11 combinations) +3.07%BetOnline.ag 2.36 (43.7%) / BetRivers 1.83 (56.3%)Show all 11 combinations
Reno Aces (Local)Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)Margin
BetOnline.ag 2.36 (43.7%)Bovada 1.83 (56.3%)+3.07%
BetOnline.ag 2.36 (43.7%)BetRivers 1.83 (56.3%)+3.07%
Caesars 2.30 (44.3%)Bovada 1.83 (55.7%)+1.91%
Caesars 2.30 (44.3%)BetRivers 1.83 (55.7%)+1.91%
FanDuel 2.28 (44.5%)Bovada 1.83 (55.5%)+1.52%
FanDuel 2.28 (44.5%)BetRivers 1.83 (55.5%)+1.52%
theScore Bet 2.25 (44.9%)Bovada 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%
theScore Bet 2.25 (44.9%)BetRivers 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%
Hard Rock Bet 2.25 (44.9%)Bovada 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%
Hard Rock Bet 2.25 (44.9%)BetRivers 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%
BetOnline.ag 2.36 (42.7%)1xBet 1.76 (57.3%)+0.816%