The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Reno Aces v Salt Lake Bees

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 56.34%1.77fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.35%56.34%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.721.7562.11%58.95%58.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 43.66%2.29fair odd
EV +0.418%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%43.65%43.66%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.052.3050.00%47.59%48.66%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reno Aces (Local): 56.34%; Salt Lake Bees (Visit): 43.66%. For Salt Lake Bees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.418%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.418%E +0.182%K +0.321%G +0.001%5.6%2026-04-09 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -0.455%E -0.200%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 20:14
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.40%E -0.803%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:10
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -11.81%E -5.84%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 14:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 15:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.