The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Reno Aces v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.07%44.94%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.092.1050.00%48.24%47.73%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.93%55.06%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7459.17%58.55%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reno Aces (Local): 44.99%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 55.01%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -4.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 17:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:30
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 17:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 17:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 19:30
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.