Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reno Aces v Sacramento River Cats

2026-08-27 01:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.21%44.01%44.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.142.152.1548.31%46.84%46.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 55.91%1.79fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -5.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.20%55.79%55.99%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7259.88%59.30%59.35%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reno Aces (Local): 44.09%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 55.91%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.72, with an expected value of -3.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.51%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 14:49
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.51%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.63%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:38
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.63%E -3.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 15:38
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.09%E -2.86%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.51%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.74%E -4.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.