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Reno Aces v Sacramento River Cats

2026-08-30 20:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV +0.278%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.04%50.62%51.06%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.841.9756.50%53.98%54.35%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.38%48.94%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.912.0057.14%52.63%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reno Aces (Local): 50.90%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 49.10%. For Reno Aces (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.97, producing a positive expected value of +0.278%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV +0.278%E +0.141%K +0.287%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.08%E -8.05%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:30
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.29%E -1.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.73%E -2.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:07
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.90%E -5.59%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.