The School of Odds

Reno Aces v Round Rock Express

2026-07-10 01:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Reno Aces (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%50.99%51.07%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.831.831.8555%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.01%48.93%49.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.911.911.9353%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 19:39
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 15:21
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 15:24
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:33
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.51%E -3.98%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.