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Reno Aces v Round Rock Express
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reno Aces (Local)
Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +4.99%
Growth +0.206%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%56.15%56.85%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.661.8362.89%59.79%60.24%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Round Rock Express (Visit)
Prediction 43.09%2.32fair odd
EV -0.022%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.85%43.15%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.162.172.3253.19%46.32%45.98%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +4.14%E +2.26%K +4.99%G +0.206% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -18.98%E -10.10%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-09 16:54 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-10 01:07 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.97%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.21%E -3.85%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.47%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.52%E -5.99%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.