The School of Odds

Reno Aces v Round Rock Express

2026-07-08 01:35 — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Option 1: Reno Aces (Local)

1.8354.64%Min
1.8354.57%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8554.05%Max
50.67%1.973Min
51.07%1.958Max
50.99%1.961Mean
51.07%1.958Median
51.07%1.958IQM
51.00%1.961Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 51.07%

EV -5.53%Edge -2.99%Kelly -6.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Round Rock Express (Visit)

1.8853.19%Min
1.9152.46%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9351.81%Max
48.93%2.044Min
49.33%2.027Max
49.01%2.040Mean
48.93%2.044Median
48.93%2.044IQM
49.00%2.041Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 48.93%

EV -5.56%Edge -2.88%Kelly -5.98%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerReno Aces (Local) ▼Round Rock Express (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.53% E -2.99% K -6.50% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.56% E -2.88% K -5.98% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 15:04
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 19:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 15:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 15:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 16:47
Caesars1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.54% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 16:48
1xBet1.83I 54.64% NM 50.81%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 49.19%EV -7.51% E -3.98% K -8.44% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:25
BetRivers1.83I 54.64% NM 50.67%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.89% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 49.33%EV -8.00% E -4.26% K -9.10% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth