Language:English
Reno Aces v Round Rock Express
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reno Aces (Local)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.56%50.00%51.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.8955.56%53.84%53.48%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Round Rock Express (Visit)
Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.26%49.44%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.881.871.9353.76%53.09%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 16:55 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 16:50 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 18:52 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.