The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Omaha Storm Chasers v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 43.25%2.31fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%43.82%43.69%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.172.172.3052.91%46.14%46.19%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 56.75%1.76fair odd
EV +4.98%
Edge +2.69%
Kelly +5.86%
Growth +0.292%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%56.18%56.31%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.671.8564.10%59.79%59.88%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 43.25%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 56.75%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -18.25%E -9.66%K -20.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV +4.98%E +2.69%K +5.86%G +0.292%7.0%2026-08-19 23:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.10%E -2.42%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 23:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 23:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 23:25
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -1.82%E -0.800%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 13:17
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.519%E -0.226%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.519%E -0.226%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.47%E -7.36%K -20.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.