Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%46.33%46.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.972.002.0954.64%50.82%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +3.41%
Growth +0.106%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%53.67%54.00%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.741.9158.48%56.07%57.47%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 46.02%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 53.98%. For Memphis Redbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.10%E +1.63%K +3.41%G +0.106%7.0%2026-05-27 23:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.86%E -8.04%K -17.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.135%E -0.073%K -0.159%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 20:39
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.10%E -6.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.21%E -0.664%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 22:49
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.56%E -6.61%K -13.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -3.82%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.69%E -4.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 22:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.69%E -4.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.