The School of Odds
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Omaha Storm Chasers v Las Vegas Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 43.10%2.32fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%43.01%43.15%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.202.2047.62%46.05%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.99%56.85%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.671.6762.11%60.34%59.88%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 43.10%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 56.90%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -4.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 15:10
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 15:09
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 15:20
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.19%E -3.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-11 15:28
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.48%E -4.52%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.