The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Omaha Storm Chasers v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 70.61%1.42fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.43%71.03%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.321.3877.52%75.13%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 29.39%3.40fair odd
EV -0.066%
Edge -0.019%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.57%28.97%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.253.4034.48%31.37%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 70.61%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 29.39%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.402. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.400, with an expected value of -0.066%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.56%E -1.86%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.56%E -1.86%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.29%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 22:50
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.56%E -1.86%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.76%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 17:53
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.09%E -4.58%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.066%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:42
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.80%E -5.15%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 21:09
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.066%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -1.54%E -0.458%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 17:50
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.68%EV -8.21%E -6.32%K -27.37%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.92%E -6.91%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.