Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 61.00%1.64fair odd
EV +4.31%
Edge +2.52%
Kelly +6.06%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%61.00%63.41%64.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.471.7169.44%66.05%68.03%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 39.00%2.56fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.42%39.00%36.59%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.522.602.6847.85%39.75%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 61.00%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 39.00%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +4.31%E +2.52%K +6.06%G +0.261%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -18.49%E -8.84%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.41%E +0.541%K +0.879%G +0.012%5.1%2026-04-19 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -10.33%E -7.03%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV +4.53%E +1.69%K +2.69%G +0.122%5.3%2026-04-19 17:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -11.55%E -7.97%K -25.67%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.89%EV +1.02%E +0.392%K +0.639%G +0.006%7.6%2026-04-19 18:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -12.16%E -8.45%K -27.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +2.19%E +0.834%K +1.35%G +0.030%7.6%2026-04-19 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.