Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

Prediction 67.35%1.48fair odd

EV -3.70%

Edge -2.58%

Kelly -8.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.04%67.62%67.35%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.411.411.4373.53%71.17%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd

EV +0.902%

Edge +0.292%

Kelly +0.432%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.56%32.38%32.65%34.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.662.852.813.0937.59%35.05%35.59%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local): 67.35%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 32.65%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.902%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -8.41%E -6.18%K -23.36%G +0.000%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV +0.902%E +0.292%K +0.432%G +0.004%	5.9%	2026-04-18 18:10
Caesars🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.04%E -0.679%K -1.02%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-18 18:13
FanDuel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -7.91%E -2.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-18 18:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-18 18:10
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-18 18:39
1xBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04%EV -3.70%E -2.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 34.96%EV -13.14%E -4.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-18 18:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.