The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma City Comets v Tacoma Rainiers

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV +6.59%
Edge +3.21%
Kelly +6.27%
Growth +0.413%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%51.45%52.95%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.742.0558.82%55.66%57.47%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tacoma Rainiers (Visit)

Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.21%48.55%47.05%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.972.002.0657.47%50.82%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 51.99%; Tacoma Rainiers (Visit): 48.01%. For Oklahoma City Comets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +6.59%E +3.21%K +6.27%G +0.413%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -16.47%E -9.47%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.39%E +0.712%K +1.46%G +0.020%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.59%E -7.55%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 23:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -1.11%E -0.538%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.59%E -0.775%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.59%E -0.775%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:18
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.09%E -6.49%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -1.11%E -0.538%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 21:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.