The School of Odds

Oklahoma City Comets v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.46%55.12%56.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.711.7460.24%58.68%58.48%57.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%44.54%44.88%45.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.59%47.62%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:54
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:14
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.80%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:32
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.