The School of Odds
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Oklahoma City Comets v Salt Lake Bees

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV +29.91%
Edge +13.00%
Kelly +23.01%
Growth +6.88%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%56.48%60.57%61.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.761.612.3066.67%56.93%61.92%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +3.17%
Growth +0.141%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%43.52%39.43%59.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.542.102.232.4064.94%47.73%44.94%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 56.48%; Salt Lake Bees (Visit): 43.52%. For Oklahoma City Comets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV +29.91%E +13.00%K +23.01%G +6.88%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -32.98%E -21.42%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV +11.83%E +5.98%K +12.08%G +1.43%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -22.54%E -12.66%K -28.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 16:48
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -11.89%E -7.62%K -21.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +4.44%E +1.85%K +3.17%G +0.141%5.8%2026-05-06 17:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -13.58%E -8.88%K -25.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +2.27%E +0.965%K +1.68%G +0.038%7.9%2026-05-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.28%E -10.18%K -30.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +4.44%E +1.85%K +3.17%G +0.141%8.3%2026-05-06 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.