Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.33%56.85%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.651.6962.89%60.66%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -0.505%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%42.67%43.15%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.202.202.3246.73%45.45%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 57.11%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 42.89%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.505%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:03
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.22%E -3.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.90%E -4.24%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.94%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.19%E -5.78%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -0.505%E -0.218%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.