Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets v Reno Aces

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 55.59%1.80fair odd

EV +11.17%

Edge +5.59%

Kelly +11.17%

Growth +1.25%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%54.22%55.85%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.721.692.0059.88%58.10%59.35%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reno Aces (Visit)

Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd

EV -4.51%

Edge -2.10%

Kelly -3.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.72%45.78%44.15%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.772.082.122.1556.50%48.16%47.17%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 55.59%; Reno Aces (Visit): 44.41%. For Oklahoma City Comets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +11.17%E +5.59%K +11.17%G +1.25%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -21.39%E -12.08%K -27.78%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-24 19:00
BetRivers🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-24 18:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-24 17:50
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-24 18:39
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.61%E -3.94%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.96%E -2.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-24 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-24 17:50
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-24 17:50
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-24 18:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.