The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma City Comets v El Paso Chihuahuas

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -7.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.16%56.01%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.671.671.6960.98%59.72%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.84%43.99%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.132.142.2047.62%46.85%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 56.10%; El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit): 43.90%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -3.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.48%E -3.04%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 14:47
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:49
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:08
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 21:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.00%E -4.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.