The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma City Comets v El Paso Chihuahuas

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Comets (Local)

Prediction 64.18%1.56fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.89%64.30%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.481.5069.44%67.83%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.11%35.70%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.7040.82%38.36%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Comets (Local): 64.18%; El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit): 35.82%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -3.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.24%E -5.00%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 17:00
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.01%E -3.39%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.29%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 23:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.01%E -3.39%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.01%E -3.39%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -5.65%E -3.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -4.72%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.65%E -3.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.44%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 23:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.